Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 9.076494 10.381492 11.820696 13.527755 15.500073 17.710573 20.380441
2025-09-07 7.553367 9.304715 11.393317 14.075966 17.442298 21.542423 26.938892
2025-09-14 6.514121 8.457830 10.908548 14.241621 18.681963 24.429059 32.488294
2025-09-21 5.706417 7.731175 10.402086 14.208487 19.535130 26.785075 37.504009
2025-09-28 5.043349 7.085860 9.886555 14.042030 20.110434 28.740068 42.104702
2025-10-05 4.704566 6.833199 9.857366 14.514029 21.587923 32.065888 49.012667
2025-10-12 4.392110 6.574092 9.775386 14.874298 22.904724 35.253689 56.044117
2025-10-19 4.163645 6.409033 9.803708 15.384657 24.477887 38.965119 64.302677
2025-10-26 3.759218 5.929984 9.299325 14.995250 24.558479 40.280493 68.727241
2025-11-02 3.449291 5.568621 8.941163 14.795707 24.910747 42.047576 74.083577
2025-11-09 3.185054 5.255586 8.628967 14.633989 25.295298 43.883252 79.736382
2025-11-16 2.944679 4.959889 8.316833 14.436340 25.585147 45.561136 85.261089
2025-11-23 2.709378 4.656223 7.970547 14.155082 25.712711 46.987658 90.542309
2025-11-30 2.635789 4.626904 8.095396 14.729891 27.468601 51.602883 102.607349
2025-12-07 2.506778 4.486882 8.009759 14.903763 28.475976 54.885133 112.373312
2025-12-14 2.359868 4.301471 7.824793 14.868985 29.067412 57.400747 120.832543
2025-12-21 2.207735 4.093709 7.580473 14.694271 29.356880 59.326782 128.243449
2025-12-28 2.153014 4.065410 7.671675 15.189700 31.059343 64.339925 143.103103
2026-01-04 2.087156 4.009852 7.704652 15.567888 32.550299 69.055359 157.883968
2026-01-11 2.042676 3.992386 7.810070 16.103680 34.429712 74.810444 175.854401
2026-01-18 1.900648 3.768458 7.483617 15.694862 34.190737 75.804700 182.423635
2026-01-25 1.790138 3.600639 7.258849 15.485386 34.377235 77.785667 191.691971
2026-02-01 1.691852 3.450937 7.060264 15.315624 34.636645 79.959589 201.728013